True Death Rate

Finally somebody is facing the killing power of COVID-19 squarely.

Everyone understands that it is very possible that people with the disease were dead and had not been able to get the medical help they need. If we rely on the numbers of the hospitals, it would give us a very wrong idea because it would be missing those who dropped dead and looked like they had a heart attack etc.

Many cities have been reporting that the number of dead bodies were increased by several times.

It is quite safe to assume that most of the extra fatality had been caused by COVID-19.

Assuming this virus has a similar transmission power to the common flu, then it would be obvious to say that the true death rate is several times greater than flu.

This is a bad omen because most people would remember how the hospitals got fed up every winter. If COVID-19 turns out like the flu, where vaccines can only protect some if the strain was guessed correctly, even if the death rate would be cut by half, the hospital system will still collapse...

題目 : 醫學 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : COVID-19

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人類有很多不同的屬性,有一兩種偏離正常(就當是十分之一吧)是很平常的。假設人有5種互相沒有關係的屬性,五個數值都是「正常」的機會只有一半左右。
但是如果五個數值之中,同時有三種是「不正常」的,那麼100人之中,就只有不到一人,堪稱「異界人」了。

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