This is good news for the governments -- cities should be down-sized if they are not viable. What is better than being able to avoid making the hard decision and just let the virus do its job?
Also, since the anitbodies will only last for several months, only critical personnel such as the medics will be given the vaccine, and the general public would have to rely on the active actions of the immune system -- those who have a good life will stay immuned and those who are not will be killed after repeated infections.
The governments that have had their hands full of problems would be very happy to see those who are living a hard life dead sooner -- unhappy citizens are harder to govern and require much more government resources to please.
What you will not know is that every country in the world, under every political system, the government will come to the same conclusion and that is to let the soon-to-be-airborne version of COVID-19 run free.
Yes I would call it COVID-20, the virus that is secretly let to run free (but what other choices do you have? If it is airborne then masks are not really effective).
tag : 心理歷史學
There is something that had bugged me recently.
It is known that the new strain running wild now in Beijing is of the evolved one which has a much stronger structure (that would make it stable for longer in air) and a more powerful shape (that would make it hang onto human cells easier) that makes it much more infectious than the original Wuhan version.
What it means is that the virus is evolving along the path that would take it to the realm of being airborne.
This is bad news especially because this will be something all the countries in the world would not let the public know.
Victims of this virus are known to drop dead suddenly due to breathing problems (suffocation). If PCR test is not conducted then no one will know the truth behind. The US data has shown that the virus is more lethal to those from a less-developed culture, even if they are living in the same country and admitted to the same hospital.
My theory is that those who don't keep themselves active won't be able to feel the difference until they are critically ill, and they are so quicker because they don't have a surplus in lung capacity.
This is the more reason for the governments not to inform the people. All governments would like those "unhealthy people" gone from their systems, and even if there are human rights concerns, if the adjacent country is doing the same thing, they have to follow or else they will become the loser in the next round of productivity competition.
tag : 科幻
tag : 行山
I would like to share the words of an angry judge from a past event: (I jotted down some notes and rewrote it for the general audience.)
Competitions have rules. In a music competition, a mature presentation of the musical material is expected.
It means that participants are required to demonstrate TECHNIQUES.
For beginner's level, being able to tune is a discerning criteria between the winners and the losers. Not every starter knows how to tune, but the result would be some of them being able to play in TUNE with the accompaniment and others not.
So if your child is not able to tune, don't send them to a competition expecting them to win. Don't invest too much, don't tell them to practice against their will. Coz they are not going to make it anyway.
Another thing that doesn't need a lot of practice but would make a huge difference is correct posture.
Many children are too disobedient (pissed) or too lazy (tired) to follow instructions. If your child is of this kind of character (state), don't send them to competitions to get scolded. Techniques are there to achieve efficient control of the instruments. If your child cannot get into a good posture, playing well enough to win a prize is beyond sensible expectation. Forcing a child to practice a simple piece more than it should have been (due to incorrect posture) would make them look stupid and hit them hard psychologically.
Rich parents like to get expensive instruments for their kids to make them sound better than the others. A judge is often experienced enough to see through this kind of simple trick. Marks will be given to those who draw out the full potential of their instruments.
Children who are taught and worked properly would have confidence. They understand that science is behind how a simple piece is played well, not talent nor other magical stuffs you can't work on. Parents would be surprised to find that pushing immature children into competitions would demolish their confidence rather than raising it. There are always those who think "try a few times more and they will get through". Sorry, you don't need anything fancy to play some simple piece well. You need to get the critical things correct to get things worked out. Healthy confidence is built from scientific practices.
Most HK children live in cramped spaces and learn their music in very small studio rooms. In a competition, they all play too softly and look very timid as a result, with little audible changes in their levels of dynamics, and can't give a sincerely happy face to the audience. Rich kids who are used to play their instruments in a large living room where there are always some people sitting in, be it maids or guests for example, actually have a huge edge in such competitions. It is true that winners often come from affluent families as a result.
It is therefore very usual to hear the judges confessing over the fact that they would like to see a happy face, a confident performance with sufficient contrasts of dynamics levels -- for which most HK children lack, sadly.
Doing wrong things again and again, aka repeating mistakes continuously is not what makes you better. You are just making yourself suffer and making yourself look stupid. Music education teaches this critical wisdom apart from making music itself and it is because the Chinese have always lacked good music education(parents would ask what good music is for), our history is not something to be exposed to the next generation -- sane people would feel ashamed at such a poor performance over the 5K years.
p.s. I felt horrible when I was taught Chinese history. It looked like a story about hell, with the worst part being people trying really hard to enjoy their tragedies in hell, instead of building something better by removing all the elements that made the place hellish. I totally understand why Chinese history was no longer taught as a seperate subject after the handover. No sane people can relate themselves to such a dark story.
tag : 音樂節父母需知
I believe it to be a failed propaganda to drive people's attention away from the coming National Security Law, and to distribute ideas that would divide people up. I have been told to watch videos where the speaker used the "collapsing dam" to lure viewers to listen to his ranting of how victims are to be blamed and an OOT lecture on the negative parts of human nature which is taught in "Introduction to Psychology", which I guess only 10% of the population has taken (no I am not going to give the video more views so no links will be given). The end result is that people would point their fingers at the victims and also make the privileged people say ugly things and think only about themselves when the crowd is at risk -- this is war-making 101.
No you are not going to trick me and I am writing this article as a warning.
Yes someone is DEFINITELY trying to wage antagonism within HK, and within China.
If lots of people reply "hell ya die you Chinese" then the CCP would say "look these people are totally worthy of being subjugated". If people stay calm and united, this would be our chance to prove to the world that China is over-reacting and totally in the wrong direction because they just don't understand how to deal with angry educated youth and a family & career-oriented population which is concerned over how the government wasted a lot of resources on the CCP's order rather than supporting local productivity.
p.s. Why would a dam collapse suddenly if water is allowed to flow through? The dams have been there holding water for quite some time already. I would worry over major earthquakes rather than extra water flow, coz the former is definitely less predictable.
MSJ, the production unit, is famously linked to the Black Jack series in my memory. I am not too satisfied by its retro-styled animation techniques but Black Jack is well known for its dramatic and sensational plots so animation faults can be overlooked.
I have always been cautious writing stories with magic/ESP because I have found it very hard to explain the power balance in the story. This series has lost its hold at the point where Maine turned a hectre of bare land into grassland in a few seconds with the help of a magical tool, without magic training, learning just the incantation (which works for everyone) is all that was needed.
Do you see what I mean?
Also, an adult who loves reading books and suddenly commented "the nobles were acting up and it was damn scary" before breaking into tears and flung herself into her friend's arms?
I am not quite sure why it would be so. There are plenty of scary things in the library books and I think what happened was just "expected". It might be that Maine has loved this magical world so dearly (finally she can hope to climb up the social ladder and be in power!) that she didn't want to leave it so early.
I guess I am the type of "adventurous" girl rather than a bookworm at the core, so that I love gathering knowledge and wisdom (and so I read furiously despite I was dyslexic) such that I can live through another adventure and have more!
tag : 書癡下剋上
tag : 國策致民生問題變成國安矛盾
tag : 民生變國安
Recently I met an epic room which, even if you open the windows and doors after switching off the air-con, the temperature lasts for more than an hour despite the fact that the room is very small.
Oxygen generally runs out after 3 hours of usage so unless plants are kept under the light, the resident is going to feel dead staying for anything more than 2 hours, and takes hours to recover after leaving the room.
Productivity can be destroyed or enhanced with designs. This i why Danish designs are loved around the world in the circle of practical minds. I have noted its supreme quality in this aspect and believe that the culture behind it is why it has recovered from the COVID-19 lockdown the quickest in the world.
tag : 心理歷史學
As everyone can see the height with which both sets of the dots spread, it is not VERY fair to use linear regression to conclude -- years ago a research says boys are better at science and maths than girls with similar data distribution, where variation is bigger than the difference between the groups. Although the validity of the claim was criticized, damage was done.
It would have been much more honest if the two sets of data were plotted with red and green to show the widespread overlapping, instead of pale blue and pale violet(?).
When there are more resources (aka high GDP per person), a country can act with more options when given against a challenge, and democracy is often needed to sort out the differences in people's opinion. However, it is a matter of choice what system to use. The graph clearly shows the huge difference in outcomes for rich and poor countries under the threat of different epidemics.
However, it should be noted that since the TYPES of diseases that break out in different living conditions will be different, comparison is not really fair too.
Also, 95% confidence is considered weak in the hard sciences... my guess is that with a 99.5% confidence, there will be no significant difference but since epidemics are not THAT often, insufficient data points justify the lower confidence level used,
The last thing I would like to comment on is the theory of "poor country does not see benefits by adopting democratic system in face of epidemics). To my knowledge the article doesn't address this issue (though I don't have a subscription so I cannot be sure, I inferred this from the discussion).
According to this graph, scientifically significant differences in the death rate start at around $3K-4K GDP per person at purchasing-power parity at 2020, and disappear at around $30K-40K... I assume all these data be in USD. If epidemics represent the sort of typical case where a government and its people need to make quick decisions and powerful actions to overcome the challenge, this research actually hints at "a narrow window" during which people can clearly decide that democracy is better,
If the system of a country can only be changed drastically without conflict when 99% of the people give consent to (in HK, 1% of dissent already means nearly 80K people in a single city, enough to start a large scale "riot"), Hong Kong has definitely "passed" the point where consensus stemmed from objectivity can be attained -- our PPP in 2018 is well over 60K.
Well, strange that my conclusion and the Economist's conclusion(pro-democratic) is different.
If you ask me to resolve the political dissent in Hong Kong, I would suggest people to acknowledge the fact that supporters of democracy would generally have an income, when changed to PPP, falling between 3K to 30K USD, while the average GDP PPP in HK be something around (at least) double of that.
Yes, the chasm that has widened in Hong Kong over the years smells like it is more than about "political" dissent or delusions that can be "brainwashed" away. My suggestion would be dividing the people into two systems -- the poorer ones might have the democracy they deserve, while the richest should just submit themselves to something else -- yes it is still one country two systems, just that the rich ones should bow down to another power, which is generally already so in the first place.
Scientific evidence sugggests the poorer people in Hong Kong would benefit from a truly democratic government. So what would the rich and powerful say about this? Support the poor (PPP <35K) to leave China since CCP will not allow this choice? Like how Denmark supported the immigrants who did not successfully become a productive member of the Danish society to get back to their origin country by giving them a bunch of cash?
p.s. Since China still has more than 600 million still earning 3K PPP or less per year, this research actually supports that China is not ready for democracy yet.
p.s.s. I have always enjoyed seeing different things from the same research than the paper's author claims.
tag : 心理歷史學
tag : 通靈王