香港人「突然行山」安全守則

看了某體能不差的丹麥男因為滯留香港尋求挑戰而「三天突然麥徑通走」的痛苦你管片之後(只有百多人看過該紀錄片哈哈哈),我決定寫本文減少大家不必要的痛苦。某位丹麥男體能好而且苦行經驗豐富,尚且覺得痛苦(而且有驚過),香港人不小心的話就算死掉幾個都是正常的(報紙不斷有報所以不是我FF……OTL)。

本指引針對有「突然上山」的香港人的需要而寫,有豐富行山經驗的人請不要笑。

1. 行山不同做GYM,山上沒有冷氣,也沒有急救員隨時為你服務,你不想被曝曬生險,請看清楚地圖查清楚路線再去,參考該時段的日照方向和地形植被,選擇有蔭和有溫差風的地段去行。

你說你把初中的地理都還給了老師,地圖什麼的實體沒有網上也不懂查,那就請問清楚帶團的人,如果他十問九不知,你就知道什麼事了。

2. 如果不熟路,不能兩至三小時內下山,行山為負重運動(因為要帶不少水和食物、以及更換用衣物,防止回程時被車的冷氣吹到病),如果你平日不做負重工作(例如背很重的東西上班之類),沒鍛練而肌肉不夠,有可能會因此受傷(這不關山路問題),建議叫資深同行者幫你背負尤其是水這類很重的東西。

3. 如果你很久沒有在冷氣房以外長時間活動,不建議在炎夏挑戰照過一小時的路程又或者任何超過連續五分鍾的上山路段。如你不幸有隱疾,會直接歸西。

4. 網上有不少有心人提供資訊,請小心閱讀,分清楚客觀抽寫(「風景開揚」=暴曬)和主觀(老手說容易=初心者覺得辛苦<-丹麥男也中了香港政府的伏,哈哈哈)判斷的意思再準備好才跟團,可以避色不必要的不快和風險。

基本上行山是很能分得出什麼人是「傻的」(尤指收集及分析情報)什麼人體能資優(他覺得輕鬆其他人都想死之類),以及誰自私自利(不顧弱者的安全需要只求自己達到目的),所以突然帶隊行山的應該準備好中途下山的選擇,以及得罪人的心理準備(有些人死要面會死撐然後死掉,你說該怎好),給有需要的團友盡早回到安全的地方。

題目 : 香港是這樣 - 部落格分类 : 新聞報道

tag : 行山

True Death Rate

Finally somebody is facing the killing power of COVID-19 squarely.

Everyone understands that it is very possible that people with the disease were dead and had not been able to get the medical help they need. If we rely on the numbers of the hospitals, it would give us a very wrong idea because it would be missing those who dropped dead and looked like they had a heart attack etc.

Many cities have been reporting that the number of dead bodies were increased by several times.

It is quite safe to assume that most of the extra fatality had been caused by COVID-19.

Assuming this virus has a similar transmission power to the common flu, then it would be obvious to say that the true death rate is several times greater than flu.

This is a bad omen because most people would remember how the hospitals got fed up every winter. If COVID-19 turns out like the flu, where vaccines can only protect some if the strain was guessed correctly, even if the death rate would be cut by half, the hospital system will still collapse...

題目 : 醫學 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : COVID-19

新一代主題公園

之前被山友批評我發表的意見不夠建設性,於是開始找些可以進行建設性對話的人士進行對談。

「建設性」的生成是雙向的,只要有一邊打算一段關係只是用來發洩情緒或者加以利用的心態,就很難達成。

眾所周知《我的英雄學院》是最近最受歡迎的作品。比起上一代的經典「禽獸穿起衣服做人做的事情」(沒錯「敵視你」就是表表者),而當今三四十歲那班有的是「爆SEED系」(有心的話捱生捱死就可以做出成績)的情意結,這一套簡稱BHA的作品所描寫的,好明顯就是「我就是沒有才能的凡人一個但是我不想這樣無能和無所為下去」的心境。

按照公式推算下去,再新一代主題公園應該是小孩子進去了(在人工智能的協助下),也能做「只有大人才能做」的事。

小孩子最想做的,男生不意外會是駕駛「真的」巴士以及真的會飛的飛機之類,然後女生可能會想做大廚(不是美女廚房那種笑料程度的)、做老師、做藝人、做設計師,個別可能會想在真的病人身上動真的手術或者親手管理其實是一個迷你都市的主題公園本身,for real……他們想要的「遊戲」,是一個他們不是被稱呼為minor、被告知這個你未夠歲數不行,那個你不夠學歷不能做,而是擁有完整行動權的機會——SAO那種「在虛擬空間」裡發威已經提不起興趣(誰不是從小打機慣?),而是在現實裡真的擁有「能力」、做的事情不是「家家酒」的體驗。

問了一下這個年齡層的人,這似乎的確就是他們想要的「樂園」——沒錯七十後那種荔園式的感官刺激相對OUT了,旋轉木馬或者摩天輪已經提不起他們的興趣。

海洋公園聽說要翻新,好歹是用公帑,要做就當要做成功,不然又會變成社會分化的原裂點。

到底要怎麼做才可以把「意見」傳達到給他們?

這個主題公園(的園區)說不定會成為將來真正的智慧都市的雛型,說不定連GOOGLE都會有興趣插一腳進來呢!

p.s. 聽說美國的醫保、青年旅舍制度都是「行外人」(即是分別不是醫護、旅遊業從業員)發起的點子,因為得到社會各方大力協助,構思得到實行,最後成為了市場上一大主流。

題目 : 香港是這樣 - 部落格分类 : 新聞報道

tag : 心理歷史學 科幻 人工智能

Terrorists' mindset

Years before when I took the GRE, grudges spurted out as I did the "stupid dumb" questions for hours at a go. I did not understand why I was made to do such questions before I met people of different mindsets on the internet and in free social encounters (i.e. those not bounded by academic aptitudes).

I realized that most of the people I met outside the elite academic circle would never get a high mark in the GRE. "Wrong answers" were upheld even when challenged, and there were people who seemed totally unable to comprehend why their logic was faulty.

The judge whose professional speech had spurred social uproar looks like someone who would not pass the GRE, to my great surprise.

Some As are Bs who deserve punishment, so if some Cs look like As, then every C is a B and needs to be punished, right?

The correct answer here is: NO.

It is one thing to pity people who made such a mistake and feel sad that people were wrongly hurt due to a serious logic error. It is another thing for a JUDGE to throw away rule of law by:

1. Sympathizing with people who do irreversible damage to people who were not carrying weapons by carrying out "punishment" without a proper court.

2. Agreeing with the logic which is the core part of discrimination and terrorists' attack in addition to praising the criminal for his submission to law enforcement.

The Hong Kong Education had been very prudent in the sense that those who were not going to make it into the college were not taught how to protect themselves against systematic damage.

If someone broke your living and induced systematic damage to the whole industry, you should gather up all the victims and sue those who induced the event. That is the spirit of rule of law. Everyone is entitled to work and prosper, so stabbing people is absolutely not acceptable.

Stabbing a knife into someone who you THINK has made your purse miserable, just because she pushed you when you two had a heated argument, is a very nice demonstration of a potential criminal propensity, however. If there is a PsychoPass check available in HK, I am quite confident that that ex-guide would be a latent criminal from the start.

I sincerely believe that bad education results in collective honouring of the terrorists' mindset. In the 5000 years of "Chinese history", most people of all eras had been deprived of high-quality education resources and the Chinese Culture that remained after all the years of turmoils, was unfortunately corrupted to the core, which had resulted in the current fart.

I want to say that I was able to appreciate the grace of GRE more and more over the years. If I were to take another one, I would very gladly do so this time.

題目 : 香港是這樣 - 部落格分类 : 新聞報道

上山吧!公屋居民

近年因為市中心缺地起公屋,新起的市區公屋一般都在有如觀塘半山那堆「鳥不生蛋」的地方,其中一個「重災區」就係葵涌區。

石籬因為前有工廠區、貨櫃碼頭「擋路」,居民缺乏足夠的晨運空間,所以一如藍田區、水泉澳區那樣,背後的山上開出了多條晨運徑——金石徑

通常這類山徑長約五金里,熟路兼體能好的一小時內必定可以完成,而且斜的部分會有石級(甚至有鋪面的),路面狀況可供安全地小跑,新手也可以獨自挑戰。最重要的是有打卡位,而金石徑的特色是石籬上山的兩條徑全條對正日落位。

翻過金石徑,就是石梨背水塘和金山郊野公園,如果時間許可,遊人可以選擇兜個大圈從麥徑上城門再回來,肯定夠玩半天。

題目 : 長跑 - 部落格分类 : 體育運動

tag : 行山 金石徑

A Relationship that Nurtures

I have always been sarcastic to the clinical psychologists because of despicable encounters with one and being informed about how the industry runs later.

But earlier this week I saw one of them who expressed his view on a healthy relationship in SCMP and I like that article and thought may be there are still some good guys out there.

The article says that if you are afraid to raise your honest opinion when you are in the relationship due to co-dependency, then it is not a good sign.

People should help each other but not forever so. If you are not able to do something now, you should learn to do it later. If you are no good at something in the past, you should try to improve and learn.

If the relationship becomes the reason that the participants won't grow, then they would be dependent to the point that if they raise a voice which might not be pleasant to the other, they would pose a danger to themselves.

Dependency is evil but temporary ones are acceptable. The CP pointed out that many are engaged in unhealthy relationships because they grew in in such so they built more as they age.

To me, that article, which seemed to be about romantic relationship at a glance, was actually a poignant comment on the 5K years of Chinese culture.

We are not supposed to revolutionize our political system to create a better society. We are not supposed, as a kid, to force our parents to provide us a more nurturing environment. As couples, we are told that it is the truth that each are highly dependent with each other. We are told not to change a tradition even if it is doing harm to all because "we are Chinese, we have traditions, we don't change".

As a result, the Chinese are being despised by most developed countries, and the Chinese government is openly building relationship starring dependency as the core with other developing countries.

In my eyes, it is not healthy to the world. Independence should be promoted for a prosperous and peaceful world where people can have a good life and are able to respect each other.

題目 : - 部落格分类 : 健康身心

糧食鏈崩壞初癥

最近在不同的餐廳都吃到了變壞/受污染的東西,不斷隔幾天就肚瀉,今天就跑了五回……還倒在工作桌上近半小時。同事大大地抱怨我彈性上班太厲害,變相有很多東西都分工得不好。

瀉掉的食物還是要再買再吃,這幾星期下來的糧費急升,但人越來越弱,因為肚子不適影響進食、運動和睡眠,最近肌肉有點退化,人越來越容易乏力,結果該做而未做的工作越來越多,壓力越來越大,經常做到半夜、第二天工作又幾乎遲到(巴士地鐵班次太疏經常改班次是個很大的排程變數),身心狀態都不怎麼樣。

最恐佈的不是樓價大跌,而是大部分人都沒法向上流,但生活質素無限期地處於痛苦的水平。像我這些個案真的不知捱到什麼時候會爆掉。

如果本來世界糧食是夠的,因為這類物流處理問題導致飢荒,就算不WWIII都會內戰四起……

p.s. 這種時候會很感激自己獨居,不然半夜打文發洩絕對會嚇到家人。

題目 : 香港是這樣 - 部落格分类 : 新聞報道

tag : 心理歷史學

[anime review] Listeners 1-3

MAPPA is my new BONES.

This time, they have decided to venture into the philosophical relationship of artists and the audience with magnificent artwork to tell the story.

I particularly like the style of this original work. The color plan is gentle and the character designs are natural-looking.

The resulting quality is exhilarating and I am looking forward to a masterpiece.

It takes quite some courage to admit that the devouring dark acts often come from "would-be players". People often cannot control themselves when they want something but cannot get it. Art is a tool which takes much work to complete and is not as useful as it should be if the author just tries to express oneself.

It is exactly when hearts are joined that the true power is drawn but power is always dangerous and it could be so disastrous that it get itself banned after a big slip.

Just as where Echo lived and worked, this work picks up bits and pieces from many famous work on the same topic and recombines it into a retro-feeling story.

I have great expectation of this anime.

題目 : 動畫心得 - 部落格分类 : 漫畫卡通

tag : MAPPA

期油負價和剩女

今天的大新聞相信是期油跌到負數,很多人聲稱跌破眼鏡。

其實熟悉「剩女」現象的人都不應該對這件事有任何奇怪的感覺。男人對女人的感情,其實比較近似期貨的邏輯——越多男人想要女,女生的價值就更高——所以越多男人有能力組織幸福家庭,女生也就更「值錢」。

但女生去到三十多歲,「因為要生兒育女所以體力上無法從事原本薪高工時長的工作,要退下薪金較低的工種,結果要男人撐起家」就像是期貨買家要接實體油的情景,所以當突然有一大堆「到(生育)期」的女人想要成家立室,而剛好市場上沒有那麼多有「承接力」的男人,這班女人就會「被沽」,大批成為剩女,吸引力跌到負數,再掙扎也沒用。

本來男人以為有個女人在身邊會對自己「有SO」,結果反而成為自己過HAPPY人生的負累……想想男人60歲理論上還可以育兒,當然係「玩多幾年先」。所以男人拍拖似買期貨,結婚生仔其實就似買了的期貨到期,買中了「搶手」的升值貨甚至可以選擇做家庭主男;買到了市場「放棄」的,就要「食實體」,即係你有儲存原油的空間(例如一層已供完或者供得輕鬆的樓安置家人),你不會蝕光,畢竟對正常人來說一個正常家庭怎麼會沒有價值(笑)……但如果搞不定要沽出,你會倒蝕(離婚還要贍養費)。

雖然每個人想要的東西都不一樣,但戀愛市場本質和油市一樣,都係有強烈的人為因素控制「產量」。當大部分年輕女生都覺得自己不會找到「有承接力」的男人,即係會發生猶如石油減產油價高企的事,男人好難找到合心水的拍拖對象、覺得女生「吊高賣」;而當大部分女生都努力想要在生育期內生育,就會變成單身想要伴的大都是三十幾歲只求成家立室但市場根本沒有足夠承接力(大部分極想要女友而未有的都是廿幾歲),變成現在石油儲量突然爆滿,「頂爛市」。

所以我贊成凍卵普及化,以穩定「市場格價」,以及鼓勵女生三十歲前結婚,如果雙方家庭資產低收入不高但學歷高(=這班人無法上公屋),政府可提供補貼以保證孩子的居住環境不會因樓價過高而太差(以前有居屋,現在太少),造成將來的醫療負擔,以減少民怨,兩個方向穩定供求。反正現代女生八十幾歲才過身,就算五十歲才生都能和孩子一起三十年。

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

[anime]Plunderer 11-15 review

I have to confess that the story moved too slowly last season so I jumped around before the school arc (11 onwards), which starts to churn out memorable plots and got me sufficiently interested in the story.
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[月經]近況報告

最近空氣質素大降,明顯中國不少工廠復工了,敏感又經常發作,但因交通減班次,每天車程合共超時一小時為之等閒,結果這星期有兩次回到家做了家務不到一小時就倒在地板上動彈不得,直到半夜空氣質素變好一點才回魂。但這種時間體力值減半,做事事倍功半,而且很容易導致第二天工作遲到,導致欠交事項越來越長。

然後有些餐廳大概生意不好食材處理馬虎,最近即使不回老家吃也有一定機率大噴瀉,搞到體力經常不足,令該做的事都無法做完。如果自煮,因為交通班次不穩定,基本上無法離開居住地區工作太久,收入會連交租都不夠——我所有的工作場所都不能帶食物進去,也沒有足夠所有員工帶飯放飯的場所或者存放食物的空間,所以帶飯有實際問題,更何況租契寫明禁止煮食。要租貴多過一倍或者再租遠一小時車程的才可以解決問題……

說起來最近好像不少大X樂都直接關門了。有人告訴我因為它被人認為是藍店所以被罷食,我說這家品牌經濟好的時候我吃十次有五次都會瀉,因此早已罷吃,還道我如果是藍的,一定會大罵:「這才不是藍店,是黑店!」

這種衛生水平的店子,關了才能守住香港人的健康。要是沒有罷吃這回事,說不定已成為播毒大站、「名垂千古」的死神!

其實吃不好睡不夠每天抵抗身體的呼喚掙扎去上班真的很令我怨氣日重,不過我都知除了移民之外,我這些長相不佳兼沒有家底還要供養老人、政府也不支持人們讀第二本科過檔另一條事業軌道的女生實在別無選擇。

……就看看我幾時捱到爆炸失去常性了。

題目 : 香港是這樣 - 部落格分类 : 新聞報道

[anime]Rich Inspector -- Balance Unlimited Ep1-2 review

I didn't want to watch this because I have absolutely no expectation of how a plot about how cases could be solved with a huge amount of money could be surprising to me.

I accidentally stumbled onto the episodes on YouTube and I couldn't pull my eyes off the handsome characters. I live in a downtown area where the guys are either old or look miserable, and work in places where guys never have the confident and austere body language a model policeman should have.

Yup, it's as simple as that. It certainly testifies how well the artwork is, and that the character design has worked as it should have been.

Looking at the credits reveals that many top anime companies had worked hard on the art, producing such excellent fruits of computer-aided anime technology.

The story is as vulgar in the logic as any AV could have been. Well, vulgarity is NEVER about how much sex organs are exposed, but the explicitness of things people should be modest about. This is why biological illustrations of sex organs and details of reproduction can be shown to minors, but not AVs.

I have to emphasize that I am not saying that the story itself is rubbish -- if the audience can be made into reflecting on the value of money and how money should be used in a society, vulgarity is totally a justified tool in this case.

題目 : 動畫心得 - 部落格分类 : 漫畫卡通

現實裡的少年漫老梗

果然是《通靈王》的玩法……已經不是個別派系的意識型態之爭,而是所有「概念」和「場地」都可以用來打,不同的思念實體化成為各種形態具殺傷力的力量,各方大戰連場最後看看花落誰家……

那邊廂有個上了岸早已到了「隨時被神召回」年紀的諾獎得主出來說是人工合成的病毒在大殺四方,這邊廂有一班不曾「打破玻璃」的人們因為未經批准聚集了人們為公義發聲就被捕。

用少年漫畫的分鏡語言,畫面就是一方抓好了對方會關心的對象的人質,而另一方就是大叫:「你這個壞蛋給我乖乖接一招!」

雖然少年漫畫很多時候都充滿荒唐的畫面,不過背後的邏輯真的很現實。

話說我之前不是說過如果這場病毒大戰(我不想叫這病毒任何一個單一名字,因為以當今的基因編輯技術,任何個生化設備較先進的國家拿到了樣本之後都可以動手改,而改完之後是不是還要叫同一個名,是一個很嚴肅的問題)的起因是有一隻高毒性的品種「不小心」漏出去,那麼最合理的「執拾」方法就是把低毒性而有更高傳染性的版本故意放出,把高風險的本地人群先用低毒性的版本感染一次,那就可以做到針對性的「群體免疫」。

然後最近研究爆發初期的基因差異的結果符合了這個說法,香港和東南亞先爆的品種似乎是毒性低的。

如果當初的判斷是無法「斷鏈」,無論做什麼都會最後全世界大爆發,只差是一個月後還是一年後,最正常的做法就是化危機為機會——把自家的影響減到最低,令對家損失比自己更大,輸少當贏。最簡單的做法就是鼓勵第一波高毒性的高風險人群通通逃到對家然後再自封然後散毒(低殺傷的)結果流出好慘的畫面(注:幾百人排醫院擠整晚=能站一整晚的都不是重病;醫護做到崩掉的時後整體死亡率上升是必然,因為本來有人急救的都沒人手處理,屍體暴增是正常的,但未必全是病毒所為)。

當然這些連我也不用花時間都能想得出的東西,任何一方也不會想不到,但吹水不能當證據,尤其中國是世界工廠的確是事實,所有傳統的懲罰制裁最後都會變成由本來已經血汗的人民以更血汗的人生去承擔,甚至反彈回來,所以真正的好戲在後頭——中國的弱項的確是把創意發展最後做出完成度高的成品——全世界的受害國把疫情收拾好之後發揮創意,人類歷史發展說不定會大大改寫。

而那一定是中國不會預見到的,因為中國文化的重點就是「五千年傳統」(=本質沒有突破過)。

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : covid-19

Animals don't farm

There were billions of years after the first animal appeared, and before the first that farmed.

Quite a number of animals are intelligent enough to understand the process of farming. Just that no one cares to do so.

"Why would you do so much things when most of the time we have food ready for us to consume?"

The one who farmed had ancestors who lived long enough to witness and survived a famine. The story was told to the horror of its descendants and farming seemed to be able to remove the fear for most.

"But didn't every time when the climate was out, your fields failed on you also?"

The happiness of seeing a whole field of food as a result of the year's work, had brought joy to life, which is significantly much longer than dogs, cats and other animals of similar physique. Agricultural products don't run away when fed on, so you don't need to search and hunt for it. It is there where you plant it.

"However, you fight over the surplus food, and the surplus food always brings about an expanding population which leads to wars fighting over more land to farm."

The tension of having a fair fight is more exciting than fighting with, for example, tigers or bears, which are much larger and naturally more lethal with each attack. The chance to fight on equal terms brings about improvements in fighting skills and seeds courage in the cowardly hearts. Intelligence brings not only the power to find a solution, but at a prepaid-price of feeling where the problem is and being bugged about it.

"Why don't you guys just submit to nature? Dying is a part of life, be it being consumed by predators or by old age, as well as lack of food."

It is sad not being able to change the fated loss.

When one is intelligent to have the concept of "fate", it hurts when you feel you are not able to change things into a better state, not matter what you do or not do. "Fate" is not the same as "the laws of nature" -- not everyone gets consumed by predators or die of famine -- it involves a comparison of lives and an aesthetic judgement of one instance over another.

Intelligence brings a species to a different civilization level when they acknowledge that there are many possibilities of how they can live and they can work to grab one which they like better.

Different civilizations come to a different definition of what is better and work accordingly. Intelligence can bring civilizations to a higher level when histories are accumulated and collective wisdom on what and how is better emerges.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

[動畫]白貓(原點篇)1-2

終於等到這套動畫化了。當年一看設定,我就對故事很有期待。可惜沒時間玩。

第一集果然就出了名場面。

魔王繼承者(即係王子)的心智條件是什麼?在一個殘酷的世界裡為王的條件是什麼?

兩個問題的答案都是同一個:可以超越血統和不幸遭遇的志氣、超越障礙的反射式意志。實力只是成功的手段和工具,而不是條件。

這很老套?換個新的表達方法吧:

「看到願景的人,有義務把它實現到底。」

這句怎麼看都是一塌糊塗的歪理,對於「符合條件」的人來說卻是無能反駁真理。我聽到這句笑容超大,死忍住不要大力拍手以免打擾別人(住香港有時真的是超抑鬱的)。就像看到精彩絕倫的論文或者數學證明那樣。

這就是人的心理的奇特之處,某政權卻總以為所有「宗教」其實都只有兩招,那就是洗腦加上社交控制,然後以為耍好這兩招就可以當自己是桐人那樣「屈機」……殊不知即時邪教化。

不,每個「當紅」的宗教(不是說邪教),都有那麼幾項的效果邏輯雷同的信念,「符合條件」的人只要接觸,就會「一拍即合」,不需要洗腦,亦不需要社交控制。所以調轉頭每個人的某些信念,可以用推理得知,毋需過問。

這名句之前整段的角色描寫的強度超一流(我就不劇透了),我看完整個名場面之後口是微張的,這個實在經典啊。

不知道之後是不是還能維持這樣的劇本水平呢?

題目 : 動畫心得 - 部落格分类 : 漫畫卡通

tag : 科幻

自我介紹

溫的若

Author:溫的若
人類有很多不同的屬性,有一兩種偏離正常(就當是十分之一吧)是很平常的。假設人有5種互相沒有關係的屬性,五個數值都是「正常」的機會只有一半左右。
但是如果五個數值之中,同時有三種是「不正常」的,那麼100人之中,就只有不到一人,堪稱「異界人」了。

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