Dysfunctioning crisis

If you investigate the way those successful bad guys do things, you will realize how their tactics are similar to the global advancement of COVID-19.

1. They partner with those who would cover up their bad doings, particularly if they lack the resources to fight against the evil forces.

2. They are only mildly harmful to most of the population, while feasting on the weak, isolated and "undesired" people. Drug dealers are not known to approach functional and famous guys like Trump to sell their "goodies", but desolate youth on the street.

3. People stigmatize the victims in addition to not helping them to get out of their vulnerable situation, as a result they put their guards down, thinking that they will not be "a valid target".

As an SF author, I have termed this "disaster formula" which can generate as many dark fictions as the publisher would like to have, the "dysfunctioning crisis".

There are a number of ways to end the crisis, and the obvious ones are all those things Chiense people don't like doing in general, because they are against the traditional culture such as a family-based resource distribution scheme and the social responsibility of working on the empowerment of the weak.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

[動畫]虛構推理7-12評論

城平京和後籐圭二的組合對我來說根本就是能把任何正經八百一如數學解題的劇本變成AV程度的刺激性。

從Kiddy Grade年代(那時是還會從電視上看動畫的年紀)就知道後籐圭二非常能貼中本人的「動畫」喜好——用平面設計(如分鏡)去到角色舉手投足如何發揮人設魅力、角色關係的味道如何透過身體語言的交流去顯現出來等等那種Ghibli一直在追求的「演出」的高度。

舉個三分鐘可以看完的例:ED親手操刀,男女主角三點不露,動作和服飾都只是很標準的社交舞規格,沒有華麗的CG效果,僅透過分鏡、剪輯和角色表情和舞姿配合音樂,令成品充滿不令人覺得粗俗但AV度滿點的色氣……

然後城平京根本就是好好的在那裡像考試寫數學算式步驟那樣超長氣地推理,又或者讓角色耍白癡,但就是能夠令推理系劇本表現出像AV片那種性器官直接描寫的裸露感的惡趣味作者——結果看這套看到後半段,我決定要有精力的時候才看,不然我有點怕會馬上風——實在感官刺激性太大了。
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[Hiking]High West Sunset

This week I had the time to go up this hill which is perfect for watching sunset.
The following link leads you to a video taken on High West this week:
Beautiful sunset on High West

p.s. updated the week's entries

題目 : 長跑 - 部落格分类 : 體育運動

tag : 行山

No one is better than the others

It is very dangerous when people start to think that they are better than the others because they are from, for example, a different country.

History has shown that people had committed the same mistakes OVER AND OVER again, with dire consequences.

Individual differences shape people's experience so many are not ready to accept the statistical truth behind Gente's Law, which states that people should not believe that one is better than the other.

When people believe of their own superiority, then tend to see problems as the innate properties of "inferior groups" and miss the chances of preventing the same problems arising from themselves.

The COVID-19 pandemic is just another failure in the same line.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

Spoilt the party and please don't ruin my cake

There are too much discussions around the infamous "#23" so that I need to point out, although I am not a professional legal personnel, that HK doesn't need #23 at all.

First, there are existing laws which can be used to curb physical activities that threatens the sovereign of CCP of mainland China.

CCP has a big army if you compared it to the number of people in HK who have access to any weapon that can be used in military combat.

There is NO way HK can threaten CCP through physical siege. If China is concerned with how HK is threatening its rule, then it must be through financial or political, perhaps information-wise influence.

It is unfortunate that CCP needs HK as a gatekeeper for capital flow but for HK to fulfill this role, it needs free information flow, democracy and a healthy legal system. I sympathize with CCP which considers the latter trio a threat to its sovereign.

HK doesn't need #23. To be honest, CCP just needs to change the way it is ruling China or else everything will become a deadlock.Scientifically speaking CCP consists of human beings that are found in all parts of the world and therefore they are capable of making wise decisions -- or else, the aftermaths of COVID-19 will force CCP to forfeit its ruling rights eventually: China took 10 years to fend of "little Japan". Guess what would happen if the whole world is against it.

HK, with #23 or not, is not really the cause behind what is going to happen. With all the "physical damage" by the "rioters", restaurants and retailers are ready to point out that they are suffering many times more due to COVID-19 and everybody on Earth knows COVID-19 has nothing to do with "HK rioters". This is absolutely the WRONG time to raise the subject of #23 again.

It is like spoiling the whole party yourself with everyone looking at you and then you started pointing your finger at your kid saying "you are not going to ruin my cake".

This is just lame.

題目 : 香港是這樣 - 部落格分类 : 新聞報道

tag : 23

WWIII has come

Many people do believe that WWIII will have a different form than the two that came before. Some proposed electronic, economic or biological warfare.

Reality is a mix of all three.

There are many ways to attack other countries than guns and missiles, and the same goes for claiming resources from other sovereigns.

Bullets and missiles travel quickly so the impact is within seconds or hours.

Not so with information dispersion, resource(including human resource) allocation and the spread of pathogens and toxic materials.

It is a war where the army can, at best, try to keep their own people (whom they should protect) live an orderly life and help with tidying the mess (dead bodies will still be mass produced).

To be honest, as a SF writer, I have been looking into this issue for quite some time but it is very hard to make people read stuff they won't be happy at, and fighting in these realms consist of tactics that are so evil which I am genuinely concerned if it is actually ethical to write such grim plots out to the public. People want entertainment, which is basically ensurig them "it is easy to do the most difficult things that can be done". They panick when they are told difficult things are not easy (well).

Bill Gate was said to have warned the powers against events like COVID-19 pandemic and volunteered to help but no one was taking him seriously. Well, all teachers had done to same thing, urging students to study before exams, offering help and guidance and everybody knows what happens afterwards.

It is not really about exams or a potentially lethal and highly transmissible virus.

The origin is that a normal human being doesn't like to work nor pay the cost to prepare for something uncertain in the future. Just like you shouldn't know what questions will come up in an exam, you don't know what pathogens will come up too. You need to prepare a lot (days of study) just to finish the question paper which lasts for only a few hours or so.

Yes, it all stems from human nature.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

[FGO動畫]絕對魔獸戰線Babylon 17-21(本季完)

這一套因為有大量三維人工智能動畫的電腦繪圖,所以經常被畫面悶到快要睡倒,不過中後期的劇情迫力是有的,所以通常很快就能回神。

基本上最近有打機(戰鬥類)的,對於電腦模擬的三維模組動態都很熟悉,來來去去都那幾種套路,任你細節做得多好,都跑不出那個套路。

這一套的設定算是比較好看的,但因為這種劇本發展的風格我不是第一次看了(同系列動畫化到底第幾套了?),所以有不少劇情都事先猜到,所以沒有了「第一次遇到這種玩法」的驚喜感。如果是十幾歲人生第一次看到這種劇情,應該會是「記你一世」的深刻經驗說。所以不意外我最能代入的角色就是花之魔法師(不知為什麼見到他第一眼就想起了《翼紀傳》的法伊),所以到最後我極度認同他對男主角的評語——可以做到這種程度規模的劇本的主角,都有所謂的「櫻」屬性——是的我第一個接觸的同類角色設定就是CLAMP創作的「櫻」(所以該組屬性和性別無關)。因為自己手頭上其實都有類似規模的企劃然後一直在試,發現能夠「撐」下去的主角屬性基本上跑不出這種「框框」。這也是我後來有了「心理歷史學」的想法的經驗基礎之一。所以,少女系有「櫻」系列(雖然CLAMP說《翼》是少年漫啦,但這角色一開始是典型少女漫的故事主人翁),少年系應該就算這系列是經典了吧。

然後還有一點要讚的:這一套該留白的地方有好好的留白,我覺得做得非常好。尤其是男主角打自己內心的心魔那一幕只有眼神的交流,一切盡在不言中。

是的,一個人越是正面,越是努力的有建設性,心的深處的心魔也就養得越強,然後總有一天要去面對。凡是有一定修為的作者大概都打過這「隻」獸,那種不死的屬性只要見過一次,面目再改變,化灰都認得。你要知道作為一個作者,最容易幹的就是派便當……

最後就是相信沒有什麼人看到Uruk的毀滅能夠亳不動容——金閃閃(對不起這個花名真的太入腦)以及其再世好友最後的戰鬥還有愐懷到最後只是一種襯托。

神話時代的終結就是神人大戰然後人類放棄神代文明自力更生下去。這是基本的「走向」。那種人類有什麼事都求神、有什麼不幸都賴神,然後王就成為神的代理,管理地上所有資產的幼兒級文明,從之畢業才是一件好事。

因為這種設定之下,一個文明越繁盛,人們內心的黑暗只會越厲害。你擁有得越多,你越害怕失去,結果神就成為了越來越大的恐懼來源;王因為隨國家富庶而擁有更多,在平民眼中越來越接近神的級數,對神的恐懼多少就會因而實體化,開始會下意識覺得還是回歸虛無才能得到安祥。這不是誰的心魔而是所有智能生命體都會有這樣的想法,所以「打不死」。唯有像男主角這樣的性格的人,才能有幸見到這種怪獸,能面對並超越過去。以我理解,丹麥教育在幼稚園就用故事教小朋友明白這一種思路,所以他們的國家用幾百年就走出了別人幾千年都走不出來的路;而亞洲地區的普及教育是不會教這種哲學思維的,也所以才生出了這樣的「經典故事」(雖然原作是遊戲劇本啦),也因此本文只有中文版。

p.s. 所以像我這種幼稚園就自行想通了這個「自主性的重要」的道理的傢伙,根本就是天生的丹麥人OTL

題目 : 動畫心得 - 部落格分类 : 漫畫卡通

tag : 科幻

重上西貢最高石屋山

一查原來快十年沒上去了……上次上是從東路下山的說(當年和我一起行的團友已移民):
http://windera.blog126.fc2.com/blog-entry-774.html

最近一年有人上過去出教學,正正是逆行我2011年(見上)的那條路(不過我那次沒上岩頭山頂,之後曾跟團上過,然後被大黃蜂蜇中入急症室,完全就是悲慘回憶),所以照片地圖什麼的我就不貼了:
https://www.timhiking.com/blog.php?d=20191010

不過他們沒上直升機坪打卡,那裡風景超好的說……山頂見到往西落的路徑旁有爛掉的舊路牌(應該是危險告示),所以大家請避免從西路落山。

我團今次是從高塘經嶂上郊遊徑上,麥三落,來回都是用石屋山東南路,因為想避免曝曬和用最高速度走,所以選了這個可以三小時內完成、不大可能迷路的走法。今次為了追巴士從麥三山頂用十五分鐘努力的走下去(口罩剛帶回去巴士就來了),然後看來有很多人和我一樣都在追巴士(40分鐘一班啊,結果我的排名出來完全就是「普普」。

下次應該會試從北路或者西路上。

題目 : 長跑 - 部落格分类 : 體育運動

tag : 行山

Reverse Engineering of Illiberal States

https://www.asiaglobalonline.hku.hk/democracy-southeast-asia-elites-obstacle

This essay has "accidentally" mentioned the COMMON problem found in contemporary Asian societies.

National identity and class confidence are forged through fixed description of the different walks of life and fixed religious rituals and beliefs. A typical example would be "elites are those which are good at learning and producing, while the poor are dirty, lazy and stupid".

Such concepts of society discourage people from giving resources to the needed while encouraging unsupported confidence in the ruling parties, often resulting in frequent mishaps diminishing resources that would have helped the minorities to stand on their feet which would justify liberal policies.

It was recorded that Italy was once like this a little more than 100 years ago. It is not very surprising that they are now running into big trouble due to COVID-19, as bad things take time to eliminate after centuries of growing roots in the culture.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

久違了的山頂彈上彈落

從金鐘地鐵站開始經中區自然徑喪奔山頂,對日落歎完下午茶再經舊山頂道直奔回金鐘,兜一個圈包開餐,全程兩小時。

明明是星期天,只能說全程真的人比想像中少很多,包括進食,九成五時間都能和別人保持安全的距離,大概因為行山新手絕不會選這種斜度有點變態的玩意,然後老人家也不會用自已的膝蓋來開玩笑。

然後在自然鴉片(腦內分泌)的影響下練琴真的特別有感性的風味……我有點理解為什麼有些樂手最終走上吸毒的邪路,然後那邊廂的李斯特運動其實超強然後閒時經常找人玩不同的運動。

另外,果然和老手教的一樣,想要進步得快,每次訓練都不要爆盡,只去一半,寧願選辛苦的路段操,這樣刺激大但恢復快,不過跑山如果太熟路,很容易因為悶而去太快,然後變得危險,所以很考編路線的功力,因為要不斷轉路線操。

p.s. 更新了這三天的格文。

題目 : 長跑 - 部落格分类 : 體育運動

tag : 行山

This is not looking good at all

I have been purchasing the usual grocery and couldn't help noticing that the shops had prepared for a complete shutdown and new items/discounted items for the poor to get the necessary nutrition were up in the shelves.

This is the first time I have truly felt fear in my life in reality (having nightmares don't count ok?). I have been nervous during exams and dictations but my meager knowledge in history is warning me that a highly transmissible and elusive virus that is really dangerous because it can evolve at such a speed where people just get sick again and again without end until most people left have efficient antibodies against it.

Flu kills too, but most people do not really need any medical attention (or else the Japanese would be quite dead since they have a habit of, for example, going to work for 10 days with a fever). COVID-19 is NOT as lenient. At least one tenth of the patients really need professional support to get through. The hospital systems, anywhere in the world you can name, are NEVER prepared for mass infection of such caliber.

Which means the ACTUAL death rate, if COVID-19 is let free to run like the flu (which actually has got some vaccines), is nearly 10%, as in Italy.

Worse, many profitable economic activities, not including the cruise ships which are just the tip of the iceberg, revolved around old people who have accumulated some capital. For them , investment probably means giving the money to somebody else to manage. They don't go to work so they spend their time doing leisure activities and most of the entertainment (by volume) is actually targeted to this market. Medical needs as well as full time caregivers get their demand mainly from this group. The property market is profitable because the old people can afford to live in the rural areas, can buy new flats in the city center and lent them to the young adults who need to work long hours -- since the buyer is NOT the young adults, the developers can puff their work up with nice decorations and sell the flats as "luxurious items" even though the living condition is really bad (small and dirty design). The real users (like me) would certainly vote against such practices and refuse to buy (costs millions, so must be picky) while pressuring the government to set up laws which would protect the living condition of one's future HOME.

It means many companies would go bankrupt and even if they are saved by the government they will no longer be able to get easy profit like they did. Banks would take a huge blow and many people will lose their jobs (which is about making easy money out of the elderly -- no I don't mean they didn't work hard or had cheated, but that the "technical difficulty" of their business operations is not that high).

Technical difficulty is a REAL wall. Years of music training had given me a strong belief that there are things which people, as a group, have difficulty dealing with. When it is about important things like economy and social stability, the results will be much worse than playing a piece badly.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

[anime review]Magic Highschool Deviant OVA

The title has suggested a more poetic image than the story did managed to present.

As usual, this series does not really want to get into the characters' psychological states. The relevant expressions are reduced to the minimum to enable a smooth flow for the plot.

Fighting scenes are not very enjoyable since the audience usually has a good idea of how the characters fight and this show is a Sci-Fi rather than fantasy one like Soul Eater so they tried hard to make the fights look reasonably real, which means boring.

Despite all these shortcomings, fans should be able to understand how the Shiba siblings must have felt towards the unfortunate girls who're losing their personalities due to unethical magic operations. The pain of forfeiting a core part of yourself in return for the chance to thrive in the society is one of the main setups of this series that is well liked by some and hated by the others.

魔法高中劣等生》是經典的「惡評如潮」的作品,被笑稱「魔劣」——男主角因為魔法能力異常而被「魔改」(小誤)導致表情有如Hello Kitty(簡而言之啦),但其他威能開超大所以作品有大量鏡頭給男主角耍帥,因而給某些有心傷的觀眾留下非常惡劣的印象。

不過作為讀障我對這個系列的(尤其男主角)設定是深有共鳴就是了。所以當我想要單純的娛樂的時候,比起那邊吵鬧的《某電磁炮》系列(已放棄追看多時),我私下更喜歡這一套。

像這套OVA就更是簡單直接的主角群發現有孩子被抓去做不人道實驗,變成恐佈分子(原職科學家)的工具,就很有默契地自發去救人。男主角要上太空處理掉下來的麻煩東西,就叫兩個女主角一個送他上去一個接他下來,清爽地完成任務完場。

比起現在那場兩個大國公開爭論一隻蹂躝經濟秩序癱瘓醫療效率、在全球橫掃的新病毒該叫什麼名稱的口水戰,然後看看丹麥這個「小國」在那邊很高速地處一大堆問題,其鄰居德國則努力地不斷檢測給全世界做出「真正的數據」。

啊,你明不明白哪邊比較沒那麼眼冤?

p.s. 又是中文版和英文版根本是兩篇不同的文……其實這大概已經是雙重人格的範疇了吧?不過這也如實反映了我看過的不同語系的影評有很大的質差,導致同一個人同一時期換個語文寫,成品根本不同路向。

題目 : 動畫心得 - 部落格分类 : 漫畫卡通

tag : 魔法高中劣等生

DDOS結局不可避

全球化的「數口」最恐佈的地方,就是作為「結局」的大型疫症造成大崩盤和一開始的甜頭「高速經濟發展」是同一條因果鏈,前面開得越大,後面也爆得越勁,所以英國肯脫歐還有香港及台灣不是所有人都覺得「靠中國開飯很好」令我認為將來還不是死路一條。辛苦的路不是人人肯走,但是只要還有人願意走,就會有希望。丹麥的歷史就是這樣走出來的。他們都認自己「不久之前」還是「荒野」上的一堆「蠻族」,連飛機廣告都賣自己「周圍去把別人的強項抱回來」(雖然有人上演玻璃心碎掉的把戲但是被看穿是五毛在搞分化哈哈哈)。

但因為課本不是那麼寫,所以我一直都不敢說。從小阿媽教導:阻人發達即是叫別人來殺你;提出和大家的信仰相反的學說,就會被判罪活活燒死!

沒錯我從小明顯就是個天生的異端,專門烏鴉嘴句句說出來都是別人不想聽到的事情——像我這些只能赤手空拳自衛,連父母都說無能保護我,除了馬後炮之外,大概只能做李文亮那種要是有天忍不住發聲不只被打壓最後也是救不到人而自己也得死的很慘的下場。

經歷過今回COVID-19對全世界的醫療系統發動的DDOS之後的恐佈場面,全世界的醫護之後應該都會學乖了——有時做好人過了頭,換來的代價就是和病人一起死光光。醫護罷工本質上的確不道德,但政府還有不少納稅人也並不見得道德到哪去,這和政治體系沒有關係,純粹是普世人性之不見棺材不流淚。

醫生的職責其實和軍隊是沒兩樣的,只是軍人的對象是「人類」和「正規武器」,醫生是「傷患」和「病原體」。如果緊急時期軍人可以有很大的權利調動人力物力,醫護其實也應該有相對的命令權,而不是卑微地在那裡跪地求政府封關不果然後和病人一起被送死。是的「醫護為了維護人民安全搞罷工」根本就是一場體制鬧劇。讀政治、金融之類的根本就不懂醫學(可能病毒和細菌有什麼分別的示意圖都畫不出),誰旨意他們在疫症面前可以保護人民安全而不是只懂看GDP和搞維穩就真的是傻的了。不懂就別來亂,放權給懂的人搞啊!

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

Why Globalization brings Pandemic and Breakdown

I have not dared to propose this theory before but I would like to point out now that if we don't stop globalization we will have more COVID-19-like breakdown for sure.

Novel pathogens appear from time to time. It could be due to human activities or random natural events. Globalization entails people gathering into crowded spaces for economic development, and often these crowds share similar lifestyles including consumption pattern and production role. As a result, they are subjected to the same risk factors.

This is totally AGAINST the rule of biodiversity, and brings forth a fragile ecosystem -- this time round, the endangered species is called "Homo Sapiens".

We have read from textbooks how decreased biodiversity due to farming or hunting could bring mass extinction at the end. We were not told that this effect is limited to wild animals and plants, and we are never assured that human beings are not subjected to the same laws of nature.

A lot of people would instantly tell me that the original concept of biodiversity is not about stratification of the human society over regions. However, from a computational point of view, the "names" do not matter. What matters are the relationships and FUNCTIONS described by the model.

"Food chain" is a primitive model of the chain of economic activities. Both are chains of consumption and production, resulting in growth, reproduction of consumption units
and sometimes death.

If you have a large field of the same crop, when it gets sick, the whole field is often sick soon. Biodiversity offers the members protecion as a horde. Globalization makes many places highly dependent on a single economic activity, be it tourism, parts manufacturing or finance. When a place is down, the other parts of the world will also be down soon, just like breaking the food chain where the memebrs can only depend on few other memebers.

題目 : 論文。報告。心得 - 部落格分类 : 學術文藝

tag : 心理歷史學

久違了的超渡報告

最近幾年開了兩條全新的工作線,本月開始入正題。因為無論用什麼方法計都發現自己不是賺大錢的料,所以總之不會令我連劏房租金都交不出就算了。

反正對於我這種名盲(因為通常是有了一個概念之後很久才學到相關概念的「官方」叫法,最搞笑那次是我對人說一些風水問題然後對方告訴我這概念其實有名堂),你就算告訴我那是「豪宅」,我看到的只是一堆沒愛的建築設計和惡劣的風水格局(然後樓盤廣告短片我總是會以我有限的讀速努力看完那些小字然後不禁吐糟<-因為長跑、行山和工作性質等所以很多區都很熟);你說那是「美食」,我自動看到一堆致癌成分還有營養問題(例),去到如「蛋撻」這種港式食品我聯想到除了老彭聲稱喜歡吃就是他轉頭就去了通波仔。同樣的邏輯下,我會算死草地計來回健身室的時間、場費、操練效果、風險等等,最後發現原來跑山更高效於是去跑山。(是的我能付得起的場,衛生和空氣質素我的體質都受不了。)

我這種不討喜的規格看來只能找同類的男人在一起,對方才會覺得有共鳴而我也才會覺得輕鬆(像家務那樣有很多事情可以分擔計算量,於是可以計的東西更多了,而計算就像是防疫工作,越早出手效果越好),但我覺得如果是男的,應該工作有成事業輝煌然後結婚對象當然「輪不到我」(你看看城平京……)。

現在唯一擔心的,是這個COVID-19會搞到像當年的金融風暴、SARS那樣,把我一次又一次打回起步點。我的人生已經不是剩下很多個十年了。

題目 : 自省時間 - 部落格分类 : 單身自由

自我介紹

溫的若

Author:溫的若
人類有很多不同的屬性,有一兩種偏離正常(就當是十分之一吧)是很平常的。假設人有5種互相沒有關係的屬性,五個數值都是「正常」的機會只有一半左右。
但是如果五個數值之中,同時有三種是「不正常」的,那麼100人之中,就只有不到一人,堪稱「異界人」了。

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