tag : covid-19
Yesterday he tweeted, "...the World was hit by the Plague from China. 100 Trade Deals wouldn't make up the difference -- and all those innocent lives lost!" https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/1260578860992737285
Scientific evidence has come up and revealed that half of the patients were infected by those who are yet to show syndromes while 90% of those infected never reached out for medical attention, for reasons not yet identified.
This is leading to the unfortunate fact that the vaccine, if there is one, will only be protecting the privileged -- if there are so many patients running around undetected, a complete screening of the population will be unaffordable to most parts of the world, resulting in a barricade of heavily stricken COVID-19 patients DDOSing the hospital systems until each and every one is down.
If you cannot understand the logic behind the last paragraph, then probably you don't know that screening is only effective if a small group of "at risk" people can be identified. For some common cancers, it would be those aged around 50-65 -- they are still valuable assets to their families and the society and if there are cheap tests that can be done on them, a lot of families will be saved and the cost of running the society is lowered.
For quite some parts of the world, people live and work in an extremely crowded environment and travel around for work and study extensively, thus there is no effective definition of "high-risk" group. These parts of the world would suffer heavily since vaccination might be expensive enough such that not everyone could afford it, and if they people are not wealthy enough to be taxed substantially, the hospital system would not be able to take the extra load soon -- dealing with the COVID-19 patients on their first attack is not the only extra load. Recovered patients might need quite a lot of follow-ups and no report has said that our immune response (no matter to the virus or vaccine) will give us permanent protection.
For HK people, it should be well noted that there is no way we can live like the Danish citizens coz we just have no readily habitable land, even if all the 'brown areas' are released. We will all need the vaccines eventually and we will not be able to get it any time soon. Our hospital system will be on full load for several years and you will see how our precious medical system will break down, followed by the mainstream education system, and then the economic structure will not hold anymore.
I am not very optimistic about how HK will come out of this challenge. Our obesity rate is around 40%, and most of the population is above 40 years old. This virus is just a terminator for big cities where the land price is high -- often due to supply being scarce so no financial trick could solve the problem quickly. Most shops(including private schools) profit by high turnovers achieved with crowding their customers and so many business models stemmed from this paradigm will take a great hit since there is no alternative way to do things.
This is a plague that KILLS a lot of the "ways of living" as we are used to as city dwellers. The proportion of the population killed will not be that significant at the end since countries will rather kill businesses rather than people, compared to the last plagues.
tag : covid-19
tag : 網版v.s.紙版
tag : covid-19
One of the recurrent scenarios has been framing "giving you a choice" as sufficient proof of practicing democractic management.
As children, we are all familiar with how vile characters blackmail the protagonists in cartoons, "What would you give up? Your money or your life?"
Well, does that count as a choice? Are the bandits "democratic"? Even young children could understand who are the bad guys without adults explaining to them.
Democracy isn't just giving people choices. It is the spirit which makes one abstain from abusing power by stopping people from pointing out problems in the system which would give those in power big trouble or embarrassment, such that there is a temptation to cull the disagreeable voice.
First, there are existing laws which can be used to curb physical activities that threatens the sovereign of CCP of mainland China.
CCP has a big army if you compared it to the number of people in HK who have access to any weapon that can be used in military combat.
There is NO way HK can threaten CCP through physical siege. If China is concerned with how HK is threatening its rule, then it must be through financial or political, perhaps information-wise influence.
It is unfortunate that CCP needs HK as a gatekeeper for capital flow but for HK to fulfill this role, it needs free information flow, democracy and a healthy legal system. I sympathize with CCP which considers the latter trio a threat to its sovereign.
HK doesn't need #23. To be honest, CCP just needs to change the way it is ruling China or else everything will become a deadlock.Scientifically speaking CCP consists of human beings that are found in all parts of the world and therefore they are capable of making wise decisions -- or else, the aftermaths of COVID-19 will force CCP to forfeit its ruling rights eventually: China took 10 years to fend of "little Japan". Guess what would happen if the whole world is against it.
HK, with #23 or not, is not really the cause behind what is going to happen. With all the "physical damage" by the "rioters", restaurants and retailers are ready to point out that they are suffering many times more due to COVID-19 and everybody on Earth knows COVID-19 has nothing to do with "HK rioters". This is absolutely the WRONG time to raise the subject of #23 again.
It is like spoiling the whole party yourself with everyone looking at you and then you started pointing your finger at your kid saying "you are not going to ruin my cake".
This is just lame.
tag : 23
So I am 100% sure that COVID-19 can fly from your neighbours, both sideways and upwards. Cross your fingers and wish yourself luck that the wind is not blowing the wrong way.
I have to say that a long list of popular building designs WILL prove to be effective in transmitting COVID-19, and I am quite sure that the professionals will NOT admit it until the last moment.
Not until they have sold most of their properties.
tag : covid-19
This will explain the unbelievably long window variation, low detection rate in China (but not Singapore), cases of "repeated" infections, while a significant proportion of the patients had negative test results while having "typical" syndromes plus the reluctance for outsiders to gain first-hand sample of the virus.
US is smart when it used robots to handle the so-called COVID19 patients. They knew something much more serious was happening there. Anyone would have recognized the similarities to EBOLA and who knows what is out there? The Wuhan team has been infamous since several years ago its research on making corona virus on animals to become viable on human hosts been banned by the US. Then we have the P4 and the team was now back to WuHan. People cannot be condemned to have suspect what have happened there.
If some strain corona virus can be manipulated to be able to infect the human body, why can't EBOLA be tuned down in the same way?
It is not the tests that are defective or the window could be very long/repeated infection possible. The "heavy syndromes" were created by another pathogen and the patients contract COVID19(which is like a serious flu) earlier or later. SARS was exactly like that -- the patients who died were found to have been infected by another non-lethal pathogen (found by HKU team) not long before they contract the corona virus that induced SARS.
Remember even EBOLA doesn't have a 100% death rate. It is around 50% only. No vaccines, no effective drugs yet. Luckily it doesn't transmit by air, so it is not the end of the world yet. A weakened EBOLA that doesn't explode in your face (which would kill anyone without high-grade protective clothing) and has a visible rash (so you could just get away seeing one) but only kill those who are in close contact with the patient while anyone who carries the pathogen can be "grounded" by a mild and easy-to-spread virus and therefore removed from the population is an ideal biochemical weapon combo indeed.
I do hope that this turns out to be another direction of conspiracy theory that is completely fictitious. I won't spend time writing conspiracy theories if I think the possibility is very low. I would rather spend the time writing some science fiction that would inspire people to create a better future.
p.s. No Chinese synopsis will be available since it is impossible to compress the logic without stating the arguments -- it is irresponsible just to talk about the deductions/conclusions. Also, this is intended for mature Chinese readers since those who can read comfortably in English tend to be highly literal and are less prone to panicking.
tag : covid-19